Updating my predictions for this bank, I'd say that within three years book value could approach $16 and earnings could be $2.00 or better making it likely the stock will trade at $30, presuming everything goes right without Peterson at the helm.
Since California BanCorp could garner $32/share in a sale today, that's what I'd consider the big win to shoot for now.
Disclosure: As of this posting, I own shares of CALB and may subsequently either dispose of them or purchase more.
Prospective Buyers
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An acquisition of California BanCorp would be accretive to book value and earnings for any of these three area banks, whose currencies are so strong they can afford to pay a significant premium.
Bank of Marin, Novato, CA (BMRC)
Heritage Commerce Corp, San Jose, CA (HTBK)
Westamerica, San Rafael, CA (WABC)
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Financial Snapshot
†as of 03/31/2018 |
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The Crew
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Steven A. Cortese, Chairman
Steven E. Shelton, President and CEO
Randall D. Greenfield, Executive VP and CFO
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The Skinny
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Terry Peterson is an all-star banker.
Few, if any, bankers in the US have had more success in building banks as Peterson has had in his career so far.
California BancCorp's best prospect for a post-Peterson win is to sell.
On their own, surviving management can get CALB to a $30 share price in three years, assuming they can maintain Peterson's achievement levels.
Now that its star player is out of the lineup, I can't imagine California Bank of Commerce doing better without him than it was with him. | ||||||||||||||||
Sources
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