UPDATE: 2019 Stock Picks for (Almost) Every State
After a pandemic hiatus, Timyan Bank Alert is back to life.
Thank you to loyal readers and Twitter followers for the encouragement to resume! We hope 2022 marks a positive turn in your health, wealth, and happiness.
A few highlights from our New Year’s update on Timyan’s 2019 Stock Pick For (Almost) Every State:
- Of our 50 picks, 15 sold — one to a bank that also sold.
- Many 2019 picks are up by 50% or more.
- Only two of our picks declined over the three year period — CIZN and PPBB.
- Our best performer by far was BNCC, up 290% on top of two special dividend payouts.
- Our second best performer was TBBK, up 162%.
- Three of our picks roughly doubled, and two of those sold — NCNB, MPHX, UWHR.
Stay tuned for Timyan's new favorite buys in every state.
Disclosure: As of this posting, I own shares of all the bank stocks reviewed in the Timyan Bank Alert except $TBBK, $CDAB, $MELR, $CESO and $PUB, and I may subsequently either dispose of them or purchase more. For full disclosure, please note, I personally own many other bank stocks that are not represented in the Timyan Bank Alert portfolio or record.
Status of 2019 Community Bank Stock Pick(s) Per State
Where applicable, click the stock symbol to access its most recent Timyan Bank Alert review.State | Stock | How Timyan’s 2019 Picks Performed Against the NASDAQ Bank Index | 3-Year Price Change |
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AK | DENI | Denali Bancorporation — Vastly underperformed, but I still have faith and have been trying to increase my holdings in this thinly-traded little gem. | 14% |
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AL | United Bancorporation of Alabama – Outperformed. I’m holding and still love the bank’s mission. | 42% |
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AR | OZK | Bank of the Ozarks — Outperformed by a factor of two. Its construction portfolio has held up well. I’ve been selling to buy cheaper banks, perhaps misguidedly. | 78% |
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AZ | MPHX | MetroPhoenix Bank — An old FIG recap that outperformed and sold to INBK. Big thanks to investor and Director Eric Grubelich for excellent leadership. | 91% | SOLD |
CA | Northern California National — Outperformed and sold to the founders of Plaid. Bittersweet to see the subject of my all-time favorite Bank Alert review sell, but I’m grateful that Management honored John Luchessi’s vision and principles. | 97% | SOLD | |
CO | Solera National – Performed with Index. Posting good results, stock too cheap to sell, governance is questionable. I’m holding on, but miss former CEOs Marty May and Bob Fenton. | 33% |
| |
CT | BWFG | Bankwell Financial Group — Underperformed, but I love the fast-improving fundamentals and am encouraged now that activist investor Larry Seidman is on the board. | 23% |
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DE | TBBK | Bancorp, Inc — Outperformed four-fold. New CEO Damian Kozlowski and institutional investor Castle Creek’s John Eggemeyer are doing a great job here. | 162% |
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FL | FCIT | First Citrus Bank — Vastly underperformed, but I expect that to change. CEO Jack Barrett is building a wonderful franchise. | 17% |
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GA | CCF Holding Co — Performed with Index, made two acquisitions, became HSBI, and sold to VyStar Credit Union. | 37% | SOLD | |
HI | Ohana Pacific Bank in Honolulu — Slightly outperformed, and sold to CBB Bancorp. Turned out to be less of a mess than I had thought. | 40% | SOLD | |
IA | MOFG | MidWestOne Financial — Underperformed. Since it is still cheap and fundamentals are improving, I’m holding on. | 28% |
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ID | CDAB | Couer d’Alene Bancorp — Performed with Index, but isn’t the bargain buy it was in 2019. | 35% |
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IL | RYFL | Royal Financial — Outperformed, and sold to Peoples Bank (FNWD). Many thanks to Chairman Jim Fitch for outstanding leadership. | 50% | SOLD |
IN | MFSF | MutualFirst Financial —Outperformed, and sold to Northwest Bancshares (NWBI). | 54% | SOLD |
KS | BVBC | Blue Valley BanCorp — Underperformed, and sold to Heartland Financial (HTLF). | 27% | SOLD |
KY | KFFB | Kentucky First Federal — Grossly underperformed. This may continue, but I’ll hold as long as the dividend checks keep rolling in. | 5% |
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LA | CTUY | Century Next Financial Corp — Vastly underperformed. The bank is in a good market, CEO Bill Hogan is its largest shareholder, and the stock is cheap, so I’m all for it. | 17% |
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MA | MELR | Melrose Bancorp — Outperformed, and sold to Cambridge Savings Bank. | 47% | SOLD |
MD | Delmar Bancorp — Outperformed, bought Virginia Partners Bank, became PTRS, and then sold to OceanFirst Financial (OCFC). | 42% | SOLD | |
ME | KTHN | Katahdin Bankshares — Outperformed. This bank is in attractive markets and run by a strong team. Still a buy in my book. | 53% |
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MI | EFIN | Eastern Michigan Financial — Outperformed. Still a stock I can stand behind. | 55% |
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MN | Merchants Financial Group of Winona — Vastly underperformed. The bank is operationally strong, so I anticipate its share price will catch up. | 17% |
| |
MO | LBCP | Kansas City’s Liberty Bancorp — Outperformed, and sold to Central Bancompany. CEO Brent Giles should be commended for the value he created since the bank’s 2006 conversion from a mutual thrift. | 75% | SOLD |
MS | CIZN | Citizens Holding Company — Dramatically declined, proving this bank should be sold to stronger operators. Not a wise stock buy, unless you think they’ll sell. | - 14% |
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MT | EBMT | Eagle Bancorp — Performed with Index. | 39% |
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NC | UWHR | Uwharrie Capital — Outperformed by nearly double the Index, and still not expensive. Kudos to CEO Roger Lee Dick for improving this franchise. | 94% |
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ND | BNCC | BNCCORP — Outperformed by a factor of eight, and still not expensive. I’m grateful to Chairman Vekich and activist investor John Palmer for taking charge, and much enjoyed the $14 in special dividends. | 290% |
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NE | FINN | First National of Nebraska — Outperformed, a great old bank, and still not too expensive in spite of the increased stock price. | 75% |
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NH | Northway Financial — Vastly underperformed, and desperately needs more transparent and effective operators. I hope this valuable franchise sells to one of the many banks that would love to acquire it. | 14% |
| |
NJ | PKBK | Parke Bancorp — Underperformed, but CEO Vito Pantilione is building value faster than share prices reflect, so I’m anticipating a nice little windfall sooner or later. | 23% |
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NM | None | I didn’t have any top picks for this state in 2019. | N/A |
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NV | None | I didn’t have any top picks for this state in 2019. | N/A |
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NY | GLDT | Gold Coast Bancorp — Outperformed, and sold to Investors Savings Bank (ISBC), which in turn, sold to Citizens Financial Group (CFG). Gold Coast Management’s 22% stake was a great omen for investors. | 50% | SOLD x2 |
OH | CBKM | Consumers Bancorp — Performed with Index. Not bad — just an average bank in every regard, and still cheap relative to franchise value. | 32% |
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OK | CESO | Central Service Corp — The bank is great, but shares and share price info are still proving impossible to find. | N/A |
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OR | CLAT | Clatsop Community Bank — Outperformed, and sold to Louis and Clark Bancorp (LWCL). | 47% | SOLD |
PA | First Resource Bank — Performed with Index. Still rated the best bank in the wealthiest county in Pennsylvania. (See MyChesCo 11/02/2020) | 38% |
| |
PA | Embassy Bank — Outperformed. Still strong, still cheap, still a buy in my book. | 50% |
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PA | Franklin Financial Services — Grossly underperformed, but so cheap, there’s likely nowhere for it to go but up. | 6% |
| |
RI | WASH | Washington Trust Bancorp — Underperformed, but still a very nice, well-run bank. | 22% |
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SC | SFDL | Security Federal — Vastly underperformed, but still way too cheap, and insiders are certainly well-incented to capitalize on its potential. | 14% |
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SD | GWB | Great Western Bancorp — Grossly underperformed, and sold to First Interstate BancSystem (FIBK). | 9% | SOLD |
TN | IBTN | InsCorp — Vastly underperformed, but the fundamentals are improving. The stock is still cheap and I have high hopes. | 12% |
|
TX | CADE | Cadence — Vastly underperformed, and sold to Bancorp South (BXS). | 11% | SOLD |
UT | PUB | Peoples Utah Bancorp —Outperformed, and sold to Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) after changing its name to ALTA. | 52% | SOLD |
VA | MNSB | MainStreet Bancshares — Outperformed. I expect they’ll likely fulfill on their stated mission to sell the bank, in spite of their dinking around the past few years. | 43% |
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VT | MDVT | Middlebury National Corp — Underperformed, but this little gem of a bank is still a good buy. | 28% |
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WA | PPBB | Peoples Bancorp — Slightly declined. One of just two losers from the 2019 bank stock pick list. Personal opinion: CEO Charles LeCocq is dishonest, nepotistic, and acting like the bank is his personal property. I’m sad I own this stock. | - 6% |
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WI | S.B.C.P Bancorp — Performed with Index. CEO Jim Tubbs has doubled the bank’s equity since 2016. | 30% |
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WV | PTBS | Potomac Bancshares — Underperformed, but the bank’s fundamentals have vastly improved. | 28% |
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WY | CRZY | Crazy Woman Creek Bancorp — Outperformed. Bank management is doing the right things (like issuing sub debt and repurchasing stock), and shares are still cheap. | 56% |
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